Opportunity Overview
In England and Wales, it is currently estimated that one in four individuals convicted of a serious violent offence will reoffend within two-years. In the Criminal Justice System (CJS), risk assessment tools are used identify who is at high risk for reoffending and this informs sentencing, supervision, and rehabilitation approaches. Currently the performance of these resource-intensive tools is less than optimal.
As reoffending patterns change it is important to keep updating these tools and testing new risk factors. Emerging evidence suggests that some educational factors like school type or early academic attainment are associated with violent offending and so might help improve the predictability of violence risk assessment tools. The Oxford risk of Recidivism tool (OxRec) is a 14-item evidence-based, open access online risk assessment tool. It was developed using Swedish population register information to estimate the risk of violent recidivism in individuals released from prison and has been tested on probationers in the Netherlands where the tool is used. As the tool shows good predictive ability, is free to use and takes only 10 minutes to complete using routinely available information there is potential for it to be considered as a cross-agency violence recidivism risk assessment tool in England and Wales. To date, it has been tested on a small number of individuals using Thames Valley police records, but validation in a larger and nationally representative sample of released prisoners in England and Wales is required.
Using a large cohort of released prisoners in England and Wales this proposed project aims to (1) examine the early educational factors are associated with violent recidivism (2) externally validate a prediction model for violent reoffending (OxRec) and (3) examine the extent to which the identified educational risk factors further improve the performance of the OxRec tool in predicting violent recidivism.
Our study cohort will be...
As reoffending patterns change it is important to keep updating these tools and testing new risk factors. Emerging evidence suggests that some educational factors like school type or early academic attainment are associated with violent offending and so might help improve the predictability of violence risk assessment tools. The Oxford risk of Recidivism tool (OxRec) is a 14-item evidence-based, open access online risk assessment tool. It was developed using Swedish population register information to estimate the risk of violent recidivism in individuals released from prison and has been tested on probationers in the Netherlands where the tool is used. As the tool shows good predictive ability, is free to use and takes only 10 minutes to complete using routinely available information there is potential for it to be considered as a cross-agency violence recidivism risk assessment tool in England and Wales. To date, it has been tested on a small number of individuals using Thames Valley police records, but validation in a larger and nationally representative sample of released prisoners in England and Wales is required.
Using a large cohort of released prisoners in England and Wales this proposed project aims to (1) examine the early educational factors are associated with violent recidivism (2) externally validate a prediction model for violent reoffending (OxRec) and (3) examine the extent to which the identified educational risk factors further improve the performance of the OxRec tool in predicting violent recidivism.
Our study cohort will be...
This is one of 71 active United Kingdom Consulting opportunities most of your competitors will never see.
Your competitors are watching the same crowded contracts everyone else is. Track this opportunity and every one like it worldwide, set deadline alerts, and win where they aren’t. Free for 14 days, no card.
Start FreeSolicitation Details
| Issuing agency | ESRC |
|---|---|
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Category | Consulting |
| Published | October 28, 2024 |
| Procurement stage | Active solicitation |
| Response due | December 31, 2026 |
| Status | Open — accepting responses |
| Official source | View original notice |
| Last verified | August 10, 2026 |
Source: UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) — Open Government Licence v3.0.
Related Opportunities in United Kingdom
See every United Kingdom Consulting opportunity your competition is missing. Free for 14 days.
Get real-time alerts, competitive intelligence, and deadline tracking for this and every market worldwide.
Start Free Trial — No Card RequiredFree 14-day trial · no card required
See who is already competing here →Get a free United Kingdom Consulting intelligence report in your inbox
A personalized report on United Kingdom Consulting opportunities, emailed in 5-10 minutes. One per month, no account needed.